MLB · NFL · NBA — three engines, one lab

Every edge
the Plug sees.

Model projections, book-line edges, shot charts, defense-by-position matchups and minute trends for every player on tonight's slate — plus a tracked record you can dig through yourself.

tap a sport to see only its screens · tap any card to see it inside · the deck keeps rotating
MLBHR edge model, projections, game sims, matchups & weather — graded daily.
NFLProps Lab, defense vs position, hit-rate cheat sheets, parlay analyzer, bet tracker.
NBAMonte Carlo prop engine with shot charts, tracking stats and rotation trends — live for opening night.
Inside the lab

Three sports. One edge machine.

Every engine projects the player, prices the market and shows its work — so you see why before you tail.

A 10,000-run Monte Carlo per player, per night: regressed per-minute rates, projected minutes with injury redistribution, pace, defense-by-position and usage factors — then every market graded against the book.

NEW
Props Lab

Every prop, every night

Points, rebounds, assists, threes, combos, double-doubles, steals, blocks, turnovers, fantasy — fair lines, probabilities and edge once books post.

NEW
Shot chart

Where he shoots vs what they allow

Every shot he took on a half court, zones tinted by what tonight's defense gives up there, his FG% next to theirs — down to side and range.

NEW
The Form

25 metrics & real filters

Home/away, rest, blowouts, H2H, defense tiers, minutes, shot volume, pace, with/without a teammate — plus NBA.com potential assists and rebound chances.

Matchup

Defense vs his real position

PG, SG, SF, PF, C from live depth charts — points, boards, assists, threes allowed per game with a 1–30 rank and the model's per-possession factor.

Rotation

Minutes & usage trends

The whole rotation with projected minutes, who's out and where those minutes went, and each player's last-5 minutes and usage against his season average.

The Number

Box score & ladders

Model means with ranges, points/rebounds/assists ladders with fair prices at every rung, double-double and fantasy odds.

The Props Lab dashboard: every posted book line as a card with L10 vs line, this-season and H2H hit rates, defense-vs-position rank, matchup grade and edge — then a full one-page player file behind each.

Props Lab

The board

Pass, rush, receiving yards, receptions, anytime TD, defensive props — filterable by hit rate, edge, volume bands and red-zone usage, with saved presets.

Player file

Field, role, form

12-zone field charts by season, target and rush share, recent trends, alternate-line ladders, splits and opponent filters on the game log.

Matchup

Defense vs position

Everything a defense gives up to his position — by season, not blended — receipts from their recent games, weather, depth chart and coverage reads.

Cheat sheets

Hit-rate sheets weekly

Touchdown, first-TD, yards and receptions sheets built from actual hit rates — shareable cards sized for social.

Parlay

Grade your slip

Paste a parlay and your odds: model hit %, fair odds, implied %, edge and EV per leg and combined.

Trackers

Graded, not promised

Picks and game sims snapshot before kick, freeze at kickoff, settle after — and a My Bets log for your own record, win %, units and ROI.

The original engine: every hitter scored for tonight's park, pitcher and power, graded against the closing line every day.

The model

HR Edge Model

Every hitter scored 0–100 for the slate with the full written breakdown — park, pitcher, form and matchup.

Projections

Every prop, priced

Hits, total bases, RBI, runs, strikeouts and pitcher Ks projected as counts, with live odds and edge per book.

Game sims

Calibrated win probabilities

Moneyline, run line, totals and F5 — locked for the day once lineups post, backtested and recalibrated.

Matchups

Starter vs lineup

Head-to-head pitcher bars, vulnerability tiers and the batters to target against each arm.

Weather

HR environment

Wind, temperature and humidity turned into a hot/cold HR read per park, with the stadium compass.

The price

Line shopping & bet slip

Best number across the books on every card, and a slip that prices your parlay with model probability and EV.

The player file

One page. Everything that moves the number.

Tap any player on the board and the whole case opens — in this order.

The Number model means · 10,000 games
23.1Pointsfair 22 · 13–34
5.5Assistsfair 5 · 2–10
3.2Reboundsfair 3 · 1–6
20+ pts62% · −163
25+ pts40% · +147
30+ pts23% · +333
01 · The Number

The projection, with its range

Not one number — a distribution. Means, fair lines, 10th–90th percentile ranges and a ladder with the fair price at every rung, so an alternate line is priced the second you see it.

  • Every market the books post, plus the ones they don't yet
  • Double-double, triple-double and fantasy odds
  • Pace, home/away, back-to-back and defense factors shown, not hidden
The Form potential assists · last 10
AVG 11.7
50 of 50games matched to NBA.com tracking · home · 1+ day rest
02 · The Form

The game log, sliced your way

Twenty-five metric tabs over his logs — including potential assists, assist points created and rebound chances from NBA.com tracking — with filters that actually change the sample.

  • Home/away, starts, rest days, close games vs blowouts, wins vs losses
  • H2H vs tonight's opponent and defense tiers (soft, mid, tough, or "like tonight's")
  • Bands on minutes, shot attempts, pace and tracking stats; with or without a teammate
Shot chart his FG% vs what NY allows
+3.4mid-range edge · 43.6% vs 40.2% allowed (#24)
03 · Shot chart

Where he shoots, against who's guarding it

Every shot of the season plotted on a half court. Each zone is tinted by what tonight's defense allows there versus the league, with his FG% printed next to theirs.

  • Restricted area, paint, mid-range, both corners, above the break — ranked 1–30
  • Makes, misses, H2H-only and season toggles
  • His finer spots (side + range) against the league from the same spot
Matchup NY vs point guards
PPG allowed24.3#17 of 30
RPG allowed5.3#24 of 30
APG allowed8.5#14 of 30
FGA allowed19.6#12 of 30
101 posspace factor 1.02 · home · ’25 rates · 83 games
04 · Matchup

The defense, by his actual position

Not "guards" — point guards. What the opponent allows per game to his slot, its rank among 30 defenses, the league average and the exact per-possession factor the model applied.

  • Depth-chart positions, refreshed for the live season
  • Game line, pace, projected possessions and rest in one card
  • NFL files do the same by season — never blended
Rotation PHI minutes · 240 to give
V. EdgecombeSG · 31.5 minMIN L537.4▲ +2.4
T. MaxeyPG · 31.2 minMIN L534.4▼ −3.6
R. RupertSG · 27.4 minUSG L521.0%▲ +7.5
L. JamesPF · 21.9 minUSG L534.8%▲ +7.5
05 · Rotation

Who plays, how much, and which way it's trending

The full rotation with projected minutes and starters, who's out and where their minutes went — and every player's last-5 minutes and usage rate against his season average, arrowed when it moves.

  • Injury redistribution from real with/without-teammate minutes
  • Blowout and back-to-back adjustments per player
  • Tap any teammate to open his file
0simulated gamesper player, per night
0form metricsincl. NBA.com tracking
0defenses rankedby position and by court zone
0sports, one loginMLB · NFL · NBA
How to get started

Three steps to the edge.

01

Get Access

Grab your membership, then connect with Discord to unlock the lab in seconds.

Get Access on theparlayplug.vip →
02

Open the lab

Every day's board across MLB, NFL and NBA — edges, projections and the full player files, before the line moves.

03

Cash the edge

Tail the plays, log your own bets, and let a tracked record do the talking.

Change the game.
Starting today.

The edge is inside. Lock in before tonight's first pitch, kickoff or tip.

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